Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.005214 0.005766 0.006364 0.007062 0.007856 0.008734 0.009784
2025-07-20 0.004400 0.005175 0.006081 0.007228 0.008652 0.010380 0.012660
2025-07-27 0.003845 0.004703 0.005756 0.007163 0.009016 0.011413 0.014809
2025-08-03 0.003473 0.004381 0.005541 0.007158 0.009397 0.012452 0.017058
2025-08-10 0.003156 0.004084 0.005308 0.007077 0.009630 0.013281 0.019094
2025-08-17 0.002943 0.003896 0.005190 0.007124 0.010025 0.014363 0.021642
2025-08-24 0.002725 0.003677 0.005004 0.007044 0.010209 0.015131 0.023793
2025-08-31 0.002499 0.003427 0.004747 0.006828 0.010151 0.015497 0.025308
2025-09-07 0.002355 0.003284 0.004632 0.006809 0.010392 0.016365 0.027824
2025-09-14 0.002288 0.003245 0.004667 0.007024 0.011031 0.017974 0.031972
2025-09-21 0.002146 0.003082 0.004498 0.006892 0.011066 0.018520 0.034145
2025-09-28 0.002017 0.002931 0.004335 0.006755 0.011072 0.019007 0.036275
2025-10-05 0.001920 0.002828 0.004248 0.006750 0.011337 0.020055 0.039903
2025-10-12 0.001862 0.002784 0.004254 0.006908 0.011921 0.021825 0.045570
2025-10-19 0.001768 0.002675 0.004143 0.006846 0.012080 0.022750 0.049463
2025-10-26 0.001692 0.002591 0.004069 0.006842 0.012349 0.023941 0.054301
2025-11-02 0.001611 0.002492 0.003961 0.006765 0.012459 0.024799 0.058478
2025-11-09 0.001556 0.002434 0.003920 0.006809 0.012823 0.026282 0.064766
2025-11-16 0.001487 0.002347 0.003821 0.006734 0.012922 0.027160 0.069555
2025-11-23 0.001403 0.002231 0.003663 0.006529 0.012720 0.027281 0.072082
2025-11-30 0.001352 0.002169 0.003601 0.006511 0.012930 0.028459 0.078309
2025-12-07 0.001335 0.002167 0.003647 0.006715 0.013665 0.031108 0.090331
2025-12-14 0.001276 0.002085 0.003539 0.006590 0.013621 0.031683 0.095264